Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.6%
M'gladbach
25.1%
Draw
20.4%
Schalke 04
Expected Goals (xG)
1.75
M'gladbach
vs
0.98
Schalke 04
Markets
BTTS52.5%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.551.4%
Over 3.529.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
1-0
10.6%
2-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.3%
3-0
5.8%
3-1
5.7%
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-2
4.8%
0-2
3.2%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).