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02 Jan 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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65.8%
Airdrie Utd
18.0%
Draw
16.2%
FC Edinburgh

Expected Goals (xG)

2.63

Airdrie Utd

vs
1.28

FC Edinburgh

Markets

BTTS67.5%
Over 0.597.6%
Over 1.590.6%
Over 2.574.9%
Over 3.555.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
8.9%
3-1
7.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-0
6.1%
2-2
5.7%
4-1
5.1%
3-2
5.0%
1-0
4.8%
1-2
4.3%
4-0
4.0%
4-2
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).