Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.1%
Sociedad
26.3%
Draw
26.6%
Crowborough Athletic
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
Sociedad
vs
1.07
Crowborough Athletic
Markets
BTTS51.4%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.525.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.2%
2-0
8.6%
0-1
7.9%
0-0
7.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
4.6%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
4.3%
3-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).