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AHT: 11CSV

28 Nov 2020 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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9.2%
Brechin
23.7%
Draw
67.1%
Stranraer

Expected Goals (xG)

0.61

Brechin

vs
1.92

Stranraer

Markets

BTTS40.5%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.546.4%
Over 3.524.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
14.7%
0-1
13.6%
1-1
11.0%
0-0
9.6%
0-3
9.4%
1-2
8.9%
1-3
5.7%
0-4
4.5%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
2.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-2
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).