Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.2%
Cesena
26.4%
Draw
49.4%
Frosinone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Cesena
vs
1.68
Frosinone
Markets
BTTS56.0%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.553.2%
Over 3.530.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
1-2
9.6%
0-1
9.1%
0-2
8.6%
0-0
7.2%
2-1
6.4%
1-0
5.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-2
5.4%
0-3
4.8%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).