Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.9%
Vicenza
30.3%
Draw
31.7%
Perugia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Vicenza
vs
1.13
Perugia
Markets
BTTS49.5%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.542.5%
Over 3.521.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.4%
0-0
10.6%
1-0
10.3%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.3%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
3.4%
3-0
3.0%
1-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).