Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.4%
Stranraer
27.5%
Draw
45.0%
East Kilbride
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Stranraer
vs
1.72
East Kilbride
Markets
BTTS61.9%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.582.5%
Over 2.558.4%
Over 3.536.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-1
7.1%
0-2
7.1%
0-0
6.8%
0-1
6.3%
2-2
6.1%
1-3
5.4%
1-0
4.4%
2-0
4.2%
0-3
4.1%
2-3
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).