Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.6%
Boavista
25.8%
Draw
50.6%
Guimaraes
Expected Goals (xG)
0.88
Boavista
vs
1.43
Guimaraes
Markets
BTTS44.0%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.566.6%
Over 2.540.7%
Over 3.520.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.7%
1-1
11.9%
0-2
10.2%
0-0
9.4%
1-0
9.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
5.5%
0-3
4.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-2
3.9%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).