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DHT: 21CSV

16 Mar 2021 · 19:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.1%
King’s Lynn
30.9%
Draw
34.0%
Hartlepool

Expected Goals (xG)

1.14

King’s Lynn

vs
1.12

Hartlepool

Markets

BTTS46.9%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.567.1%
Over 2.539.3%
Over 3.519.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.4%
0-0
11.5%
1-0
10.8%
0-1
10.6%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-1
2.9%
1-3
2.8%
3-0
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).