Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →88.2%
Paris SG
8.5%
Draw
3.4%
Montpellier
Expected Goals (xG)
3.13
Paris SG
vs
0.49
Montpellier
Markets
BTTS37.1%
Over 0.597.4%
Over 1.587.5%
Over 2.570.1%
Over 3.548.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
13.6%
2-0
13.1%
4-0
10.7%
1-0
8.5%
3-1
6.7%
5-0
6.7%
2-1
6.5%
4-1
5.3%
1-1
4.0%
5-1
3.3%
0-0
2.6%
3-2
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).