Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.5%
Chesterfield
19.6%
Draw
15.9%
Morecambe
Expected Goals (xG)
2.04
Chesterfield
vs
0.89
Morecambe
Markets
BTTS50.9%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.556.2%
Over 3.533.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.2%
2-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.3%
3-0
7.6%
3-1
6.7%
0-1
5.1%
0-0
4.9%
2-2
4.4%
1-2
4.3%
4-0
3.9%
4-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).