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AHT: 01CSV

28 Apr 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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55.9%
Inter
22.3%
Draw
21.8%
Juventus

Expected Goals (xG)

1.86

Inter

vs
1.07

Juventus

Markets

BTTS55.2%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.578.8%
Over 2.556.0%
Over 3.533.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.1%
0-1
5.9%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-2
5.3%
0-0
5.2%
3-2
3.3%
0-2
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).