Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.2%
Altrincham
25.2%
Draw
47.6%
Scunthorpe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Altrincham
vs
1.76
Scunthorpe
Markets
BTTS61.0%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.558.9%
Over 3.536.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
1-2
9.5%
0-1
7.4%
0-2
7.3%
2-1
6.9%
2-2
6.1%
0-0
5.6%
1-3
5.6%
1-0
5.2%
0-3
4.3%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).