Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.3%
Leyton Orient
17.0%
Draw
14.7%
Carlisle
Expected Goals (xG)
2.26
Leyton Orient
vs
0.92
Carlisle
Markets
BTTS53.3%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.582.0%
Over 2.561.7%
Over 3.539.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
8.0%
1-1
7.9%
3-1
7.4%
0-1
4.5%
4-0
4.5%
2-2
4.5%
4-1
4.2%
1-2
4.0%
0-0
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).