Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.9%
Inter
21.9%
Draw
18.2%
Napoli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.87
Inter
vs
0.92
Napoli
Markets
BTTS50.5%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.576.4%
Over 2.552.6%
Over 3.530.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.7%
2-0
10.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-0
6.7%
3-1
6.1%
0-0
6.0%
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-2
4.5%
4-0
3.1%
4-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).