Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.8%
Frosinone
25.3%
Draw
11.9%
Salernitana
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
Frosinone
vs
0.61
Salernitana
Markets
BTTS38.3%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.568.1%
Over 2.540.6%
Over 3.520.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.9%
2-0
14.3%
1-1
11.3%
0-0
11.0%
2-1
8.7%
3-0
8.1%
0-1
5.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-0
3.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-2
2.7%
4-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).