Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →82.1%
Real Madrid
11.8%
Draw
6.1%
Espanol
Expected Goals (xG)
2.95
Real Madrid
vs
0.72
Espanol
Markets
BTTS48.8%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.588.2%
Over 2.571.0%
Over 3.550.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.1%
3-0
10.9%
4-0
8.0%
2-1
8.0%
3-1
7.9%
1-0
7.4%
4-1
5.8%
1-1
5.5%
5-0
4.8%
5-1
3.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).