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DHT: 00CSV

01 May 2018

Cesena

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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46.1%
Pescara
25.2%
Draw
28.7%
Cesena

Expected Goals (xG)

1.78

Pescara

vs
1.37

Cesena

Markets

BTTS63.0%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.583.2%
Over 2.560.9%
Over 3.538.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.5%
2-1
9.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-0
6.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-1
5.5%
0-0
5.3%
0-1
4.9%
0-2
4.0%
3-0
4.0%
3-2
3.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).