⚽ FootballData
0 – 1
AHT: 00CSV

04 Apr 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
36.1%
Vicenza
31.0%
Draw
32.9%
Trapani

Expected Goals (xG)

1.18

Vicenza

vs
1.12

Trapani

Markets

BTTS47.9%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.568.2%
Over 2.540.3%
Over 3.520.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.6%
0-0
11.4%
1-0
10.6%
0-1
9.9%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-1
3.1%
3-0
2.8%
1-3
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).