Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.0%
Marseille
18.6%
Draw
13.4%
Le Havre
Expected Goals (xG)
2.07
Marseille
vs
0.77
Le Havre
Markets
BTTS46.5%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.577.0%
Over 2.554.0%
Over 3.531.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.6%
2-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
1-1
8.8%
3-0
8.6%
3-1
6.6%
0-0
5.3%
0-1
5.0%
4-0
4.4%
2-2
3.7%
1-2
3.6%
4-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).