Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.3%
Wolfsburg
26.0%
Draw
35.7%
Union Berlin
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
Wolfsburg
vs
1.45
Union Berlin
Markets
BTTS60.4%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.580.3%
Over 2.556.8%
Over 3.534.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
8.2%
1-0
7.0%
0-1
6.7%
2-2
6.2%
0-0
5.9%
2-0
5.9%
0-2
5.5%
3-1
4.3%
1-3
4.0%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).