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17 Feb 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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42.2%
Kidderminster
30.0%
Draw
27.8%
Dorking

Expected Goals (xG)

1.31

Kidderminster

vs
1.02

Dorking

Markets

BTTS47.7%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.568.6%
Over 2.541.1%
Over 3.520.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.1%
1-0
11.7%
0-0
10.9%
0-1
8.8%
2-1
8.5%
2-0
8.4%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
5.0%
2-2
4.3%
3-1
3.7%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).