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AHT: 00CSV

24 Apr 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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53.7%
Livingston
30.6%
Draw
15.7%
Inverness C

Expected Goals (xG)

1.45

Livingston

vs
0.68

Inverness C

Markets

BTTS39.7%
Over 0.586.3%
Over 1.564.7%
Over 2.535.9%
Over 3.516.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
15.3%
0-0
13.7%
1-1
13.6%
2-0
12.4%
2-1
8.5%
0-1
6.2%
3-0
6.0%
3-1
4.1%
1-2
4.0%
2-2
2.9%
0-2
2.8%
4-0
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).