Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.1%
Bolton
28.2%
Draw
22.7%
Stevenage
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Bolton
vs
0.71
Stevenage
Markets
BTTS34.5%
Over 0.586.3%
Over 1.556.0%
Over 2.530.0%
Over 3.512.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.8%
0-0
13.7%
1-1
11.5%
0-1
11.5%
2-0
10.7%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
4.5%
3-0
4.3%
0-2
3.7%
3-1
3.1%
2-2
2.7%
4-0
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).