Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.5%
Carlisle
24.0%
Draw
42.5%
Fleetwood Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Carlisle
vs
1.42
Fleetwood Town
Markets
BTTS52.3%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.549.0%
Over 3.527.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.3%
0-1
11.2%
1-0
9.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
7.6%
0-2
7.2%
0-0
6.1%
2-2
5.3%
2-0
5.3%
1-3
4.1%
0-3
3.4%
3-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).