Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.0%
Leverkusen
22.7%
Draw
15.2%
Union Berlin
Expected Goals (xG)
1.94
Leverkusen
vs
0.86
Union Berlin
Markets
BTTS49.9%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.552.9%
Over 3.530.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.5%
1-0
11.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
7.4%
0-0
6.8%
3-1
6.3%
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-2
4.2%
4-0
3.6%
4-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).