Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.5%
Chaves
26.5%
Draw
37.0%
Maritimo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Chaves
vs
1.21
Maritimo
Markets
BTTS48.4%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.568.7%
Over 2.543.2%
Over 3.522.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
0-1
11.5%
1-0
11.4%
0-0
8.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-1
7.8%
0-2
6.6%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
4.7%
1-3
3.2%
3-1
3.1%
0-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).