Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.5%
Avellino
30.8%
Draw
23.8%
Cittadella
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Avellino
vs
0.88
Cittadella
Markets
BTTS44.3%
Over 0.587.7%
Over 1.565.9%
Over 2.537.8%
Over 3.518.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
1-0
13.3%
0-0
12.3%
2-0
9.6%
2-1
8.5%
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.7%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
4.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-1
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).