Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.1%
Palermo
28.5%
Draw
16.4%
Ascoli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Palermo
vs
0.70
Ascoli
Markets
BTTS40.4%
Over 0.587.8%
Over 1.565.7%
Over 2.537.7%
Over 3.518.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-0
12.4%
0-0
12.2%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
6.7%
3-0
6.2%
3-1
4.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-2
3.1%
0-2
2.8%
4-0
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).