Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.8%
Accrington
26.1%
Draw
16.1%
Harrogate
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
Accrington
vs
0.61
Harrogate
Markets
BTTS34.2%
Over 0.587.5%
Over 1.560.1%
Over 2.533.5%
Over 3.515.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.1%
2-0
13.4%
0-0
12.5%
1-1
10.8%
0-1
8.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-0
6.4%
3-1
3.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-2
2.5%
0-2
2.4%
4-0
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).