Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.7%
Amorebieta
28.6%
Draw
33.6%
Mirandes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Amorebieta
vs
1.07
Mirandes
Markets
BTTS44.8%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.565.0%
Over 2.538.4%
Over 3.518.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
1-0
12.6%
0-1
11.7%
0-0
10.7%
2-1
7.7%
2-0
7.2%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-1
3.0%
3-0
2.8%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).