Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.1%
Montpellier
30.6%
Draw
48.3%
Auxerre
Expected Goals (xG)
0.63
Montpellier
vs
1.12
Auxerre
Markets
BTTS30.7%
Over 0.583.3%
Over 1.551.5%
Over 2.525.5%
Over 3.510.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
20.2%
0-0
16.7%
1-0
11.6%
1-1
11.5%
0-2
11.0%
1-2
6.9%
0-3
4.1%
2-1
3.8%
2-0
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-2
2.1%
0-4
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).