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HHT: 00CSV

13 Apr 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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28.5%
Forest Green
28.1%
Draw
43.3%
Macclesfield

Expected Goals (xG)

0.93

Forest Green

vs
1.22

Macclesfield

Markets

BTTS42.0%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.562.6%
Over 2.536.2%
Over 3.517.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.8%
1-1
12.7%
1-0
11.4%
0-0
11.2%
0-2
8.7%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
6.1%
2-0
5.0%
2-2
3.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-3
3.3%
3-1
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).