Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.9%
Bordeaux
24.7%
Draw
24.4%
Ajaccio
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
Bordeaux
vs
0.90
Ajaccio
Markets
BTTS44.4%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.567.0%
Over 2.541.7%
Over 3.521.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-0
10.0%
0-1
9.6%
2-1
9.0%
0-0
8.5%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
4.8%
3-1
4.4%
2-2
4.1%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).