Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.4%
Salernitana
31.3%
Draw
51.3%
Monza
Expected Goals (xG)
0.65
Salernitana
vs
1.30
Monza
Markets
BTTS36.0%
Over 0.584.7%
Over 1.559.3%
Over 2.531.1%
Over 3.513.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.3%
0-0
15.3%
1-1
13.2%
0-2
12.1%
1-0
8.0%
1-2
7.8%
0-3
5.2%
2-1
3.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-0
3.0%
2-2
2.5%
0-4
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).