Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.7%
Hatayspor
26.3%
Draw
30.0%
Umraniyespor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.95
Hatayspor
vs
1.61
Umraniyespor
Markets
BTTS70.9%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.589.3%
Over 2.569.1%
Over 3.547.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.2%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-2
7.0%
3-1
5.7%
2-0
5.4%
0-0
5.1%
3-2
4.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-3
3.8%
0-2
3.7%
3-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).