Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.0%
Bristol City
27.3%
Draw
30.6%
QPR
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Bristol City
vs
1.23
QPR
Markets
BTTS55.4%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.576.1%
Over 2.550.7%
Over 3.528.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
1-0
9.0%
2-1
9.0%
0-0
7.6%
1-2
7.4%
0-1
7.3%
2-0
7.3%
2-2
5.5%
0-2
5.0%
3-1
4.4%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).