Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →6.7%
Tondela
22.0%
Draw
71.3%
Porto
Expected Goals (xG)
0.38
Tondela
vs
1.78
Porto
Markets
BTTS27.1%
Over 0.587.9%
Over 1.564.2%
Over 2.536.7%
Over 3.517.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
19.8%
0-2
18.2%
0-0
12.1%
0-3
10.8%
1-1
8.5%
1-2
7.0%
0-4
4.8%
1-3
4.1%
1-0
3.8%
1-4
1.8%
0-5
1.7%
2-1
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).