Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.4%
Coventry
27.3%
Draw
30.3%
Bournemouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
Coventry
vs
1.24
Bournemouth
Markets
BTTS56.4%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.577.0%
Over 2.551.8%
Over 3.529.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
2-1
9.0%
1-0
8.6%
1-2
7.4%
0-0
7.4%
2-0
7.3%
0-1
6.9%
2-2
5.6%
0-2
4.9%
3-1
4.5%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).