Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.6%
Hearts
25.1%
Draw
14.3%
Hamilton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.66
Hearts
vs
0.67
Hamilton
Markets
BTTS40.1%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.568.1%
Over 2.541.1%
Over 3.520.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.6%
2-0
13.4%
1-1
11.4%
0-0
10.3%
2-1
9.0%
3-0
7.4%
0-1
6.0%
3-1
5.0%
1-2
3.6%
4-0
3.1%
2-2
3.0%
0-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).