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24 Feb 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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38.2%
Dag and Red
29.2%
Draw
32.5%
Halifax

Expected Goals (xG)

1.30

Dag and Red

vs
1.18

Halifax

Markets

BTTS51.4%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.571.9%
Over 2.545.1%
Over 3.523.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.9%
1-0
9.8%
0-0
9.5%
0-1
8.8%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
3.6%
3-0
3.1%
1-3
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).