Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.6%
Estrela
26.1%
Draw
53.3%
Gil Vicente
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95
Estrela
vs
1.67
Gil Vicente
Markets
BTTS50.8%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.548.8%
Over 3.527.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
0-1
11.2%
0-2
10.1%
1-2
9.7%
0-0
8.1%
1-0
6.0%
0-3
5.6%
2-1
5.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-2
4.6%
2-0
3.3%
2-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).