Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.1%
Auxerre
24.8%
Draw
26.1%
St Etienne
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Auxerre
vs
0.99
St Etienne
Markets
BTTS47.8%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.569.9%
Over 2.544.7%
Over 3.523.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-0
9.2%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
9.1%
0-0
7.8%
1-2
6.1%
3-0
4.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
4.5%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).