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DHT: 00CSV

21 Sept 2025 · 15:30

AEK

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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8.7%
Larisa
19.8%
Draw
71.5%
AEK

Expected Goals (xG)

0.61

Larisa

vs
2.11

AEK

Markets

BTTS40.9%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.551.1%
Over 3.529.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
14.7%
0-1
13.1%
0-3
10.3%
1-1
9.3%
1-2
8.9%
0-0
7.4%
1-3
6.3%
0-4
5.4%
1-4
3.3%
1-0
3.2%
2-2
2.7%
2-1
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).