Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.8%
Leverkusen
17.2%
Draw
12.0%
Wolfsburg
Expected Goals (xG)
2.58
Leverkusen
vs
1.00
Wolfsburg
Markets
BTTS59.0%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.587.7%
Over 2.569.4%
Over 3.548.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.0%
3-0
8.0%
1-1
7.7%
1-0
6.7%
4-1
5.1%
4-0
5.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-2
4.0%
1-2
3.6%
0-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).