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01 Mar 2024 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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19.5%
West Brom
24.5%
Draw
55.9%
Coventry

Expected Goals (xG)

1.01

West Brom

vs
1.84

Coventry

Markets

BTTS54.2%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.554.0%
Over 3.531.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.7%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.8%
0-1
9.8%
0-0
6.7%
1-3
6.1%
0-3
6.0%
2-1
5.4%
2-2
5.0%
1-0
5.0%
2-3
3.0%
2-0
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).