Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.2%
Lille
20.0%
Draw
14.8%
Nimes
Expected Goals (xG)
2.01
Lille
vs
0.83
Nimes
Markets
BTTS48.5%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.554.0%
Over 3.531.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.0%
2-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.5%
3-0
7.9%
3-1
6.6%
0-0
5.6%
0-1
5.1%
2-2
4.1%
1-2
4.0%
4-0
4.0%
4-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).