Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.9%
Gil Vicente
22.6%
Draw
24.5%
Estoril
Expected Goals (xG)
2.07
Gil Vicente
vs
1.37
Estoril
Markets
BTTS66.0%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.586.5%
Over 2.566.9%
Over 3.545.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.5%
2-2
6.5%
1-2
6.2%
1-0
5.9%
3-0
4.7%
3-2
4.5%
0-0
3.9%
0-1
3.7%
4-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).