Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.0%
Casa Pia
21.7%
Draw
63.3%
Sp Braga
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Casa Pia
vs
2.07
Sp Braga
Markets
BTTS53.1%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.557.3%
Over 3.534.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
10.8%
1-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
0-1
9.7%
0-3
7.5%
1-3
6.8%
0-0
5.8%
2-2
4.5%
2-1
4.4%
1-0
3.9%
0-4
3.9%
1-4
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).