Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →8.1%
Stoke
28.3%
Draw
63.6%
Burnley
Expected Goals (xG)
0.34
Stoke
vs
1.40
Burnley
Markets
BTTS22.6%
Over 0.581.9%
Over 1.552.8%
Over 2.525.5%
Over 3.510.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
23.8%
0-0
18.1%
0-2
17.2%
1-1
9.1%
0-3
8.1%
1-2
5.9%
1-0
5.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-1
1.4%
2-0
1.0%
2-2
1.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).